BPT and the Joy of Financial Modeling
After having some fun discussions on a Seeking Alpha article and some discussions on Twitter I decided to put together a very basic projection model for BP Prudhoe Bay Royalty Trust. I have no...
View ArticleGuess the BPT 1Q15 Financials Game
All financial modeling involves estimates and assumptions which means that all financial models have a margin of error (and that margin of error can be rather significant). However, it is still...
View ArticleBPT 1Q15, 2Q15 Financial Estimates and 2Q15 Distribution Estimate 040115
Here are my updated estimates for their 1Q and 2Q financials and my final estimate for their next distribution. They may announce the next Distribution on or around April 3. I will provide updated...
View ArticleBPT 2Q15 Distribution Announcement 040715
Last night BP Prudhoe Bay Royalty Trust announced a 2Q15 distribution of $0.9989143, which was about 4.6% higher than my modeled estimate of $0.9553. The average production in the press release was...
View ArticleBPT 1Q15 Guess the Financials Results
BPT posted its 10-Q for the period ending March 31, 2015 on May 8. (10-Q Filing) Here is the comparison of actual results to my modeled estimates. Summary of Key Metrics: (Click to view) Statements of...
View ArticleBPT Guess the Financials Game 070615
Summary of Key Metrics: (Click to view) Statements of Cash Earnings and Distributions: (Click to view) I will continue to adjust the Production Tax calculations to try and reduce that margin of error...
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